January 21st, 2012
SPORTS BOOK BETTING: PRO BASKETBALL — January 21
SAN ANTONIO at HOUSTON
(Sports Book Betting Line: Rockets -4.5, Total 192.5) — It might surprise some that the Rockets are laying this number, but consider that Houston has covered three straight games against its “big brother” in Texas, and they are also a very hot team right now, having won five straight games outright, with an extended pointspread run of seven victories in eight games. Houston didn’t cover the other night, but the Rockets were able to eke out the win over a feisty New Orleans team that slowed down the pace. these teams have played twice this season, and Kevin martin, one of the top natural scorers in the NBA, shot 53% in those games. remember that Houston is one of those teams that has made a remarkable turnaround defensively, so there will be no cakewalk on the inside, with Samuel Dalembert on hand and alongside Luis Scola. San Antonio has not gotten the rhythm on the road, with a 1-5 ATS record in sports book betting, while allowing 50% shooting.
JAY’S PLAY: HOUSTON -4.5 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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January 19th, 2012
COLLEGE BASKETBALL — January 19
BUTLER at ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
(Line: Butler -6.5, Total 123.5) — Butler isn’t exactly running on empty, but it’s close. The team that finished second in the nation last year by making it to the championship game is currently in a third-place tie in the Horizon League, and although you could point to a few good moments, like the wins over Purdue, Stanford and Wisconsin-Milwaukee, this is not a team you want to lay a lot of points on the road with. Some of the things that Brad Stevens had been able to rely on have betrayed him here, including 31% treys and 56% from the line as the visitor. The Flames are no world-beaters, but they have been pretty tough in the Windy City, beating Evansville and Detroit and taking better conference teams like Wright State to the wire. Butler really doesn’t have one dependable outside shooter to point to right now.
SPORTS BOOK BETTING PLAY: ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +6.5 *
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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January 14th, 2012
SPORTS BOOK BETTING - COLLEGE BASKETBALL — January 14
TEMPLE at RICHMOND
(Line: Pick’em, Total 140.5) — In Temple’s first four games, Michael Eric, the team’s 6′11″ senior center, was a threatening presence, pulling down 45 rebounds and blocking a couple of shots per game. Then he went down with an injury, which left a lot of people wondering about the Owls’ chances. Well, all Fran Dunphy’s team has done is win eight of ten games since then, including an upset of Duke. And they got over their loss to Dayton by returning with a road win visiting Ric Majerus and Saint Louis on Wednesday. Richmond is generally a pain in the neck to play, but despite wins over Rhode Island and Old Dominion, the Spider shave lost some spring in their step, failing to pass major tests, as it is obvious they miss sharpshooters Justin Harper and Kevin Anderson (combined 34.5 ppg) from last year’s squad. Sure, Darien Brothers is still around, and he will have to stat hot from the arc (49% so far) to keep the Spiders alive.
JAY’S SPORTS BOOK BETTING PLAY: TEMPLE pick ***
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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January 1st, 2012
PRO FOOTBALL — January 1
BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI
(Sports Book Betting Line: Ravens -2, Total 38) — Cincinnati is faced with one of those “win and in” scenarios, where they will get to the post-season with a victory. But wait - Baltimore, though part of the playoff mix, will win the AFC North with a win, by virtue of their sweep of Pittsburgh, and likely will be a wild card if they lose. That’s not where they want to be, since they have not hosted a playoff game in five years and feel that is the only thing between them and Super Bowl appearances. So this is a huge game for them.
But can they carry the day? The Ravens have had some lousy outings on the road, losing to Seattle, Jacksonville, Tennessee and San Diego. A couple of those games came after wins over Pittsburgh. Joe Flacco’s numbers actually haven’t been all that different on the road. Andy Dalton may eventually join fellow rookie AJ Green in the Pro Bowl, but in the earlier meeting against Baltimore he was just 24 of 45 and was intercepted three times. And what’s with Cedric Benson? The guy has fumbled five times in his last two games. The Bengals still have to prove they are ready for “prime time.”
JAY’S SPORTS BOOK BETTING PLAY: BALTIMORE -2 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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December 24th, 2011
PRO FOOTBALL — December 24
SAN FRANCISCO at SEATTLE
(Sports Book Betting Line: Niners -1.5, Total 37) — San Francisco is obviously very sound fundamentally and has some seeding issues to play for. And let’s face it - in a game where both teams are going to be looking to run the football, the Niners are the ones who defend it better (3.3 ypc allowed). And Alex Smith has been less mistake-prone than counterpart Tarvaris Jackson. But you have to put some stock in the fact that these Seahawks have not quit under Pete Carroll, and Marshawn Lynch has put together quite a second half of the season.
Big special teams plays and defense (2.9 ypc allowed) worked for San Francisco in the season opener. And the Niners have been a solid defensive team all year, holding opponents to just 13.2 points a contest. Five of the last seven games the Niners have played in have gone below this total, and the Seahawk defense (3.7 ypc allowed) might be able to keep Frank Gore under relative control. Look for a special effort out of that Seattle defense with playoff hopes still alive.
JAY’S SPORTS BOOK BETTING PLAY: UNDER 37 *
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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